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NBA Sports Betting Breakdown (March 9th) - Best Bet on the board is CHA +4.5 #CheatSheetPros!

NBA Sports Betting Report (March 9th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros! << Up arrow if you follow! >>
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
New ALGO projected scores are on fire! We had a hole in the margins that I noticed and was going to apply a quick fix. Now our NBA sheets auto update and have the games as Tier 1, Tier 2 or Slight Lean for the sides if we are looking at a play. We went 5-1 last night on sides and had a +5.5 and +8 dog projected to win outright and both won!
Definitions & References:
O/E is offensive efficiency and that is how many points scored per 100 possessions.
D/E is defensive efficiency and that is how many points allowed per 100 possessions.
PLAYS TO CONSIDER:
RECOMMENDED PLAY: CHA +4.5
ALGO PROJECTED SCORE: CHA winning by 10 or more.
ANALYSIS: Sheet is popping off some crazy stats in this one. CHA has a better eFG% by +13% and that is a HUGE number, typically we see 2-4%. ATL’s eFG% right now ranks 30th over the L3 games while CHA is 3rd best in the NBA over the same span. CHA also shooting the 3 ball 13% better and we have them projected to have about 10 more FT attempts in this game which is nice when you are taking points. CHA is leading the O/E column 1.15 (5th best) vs. 0.95 (30th) and D/E are pretty tight at 1.13 to 1.15. CHA should be able to control this game as they are projected to dominate the boards and they play at the lowest pace in the NBA at 93.5. Cha is only allowing 43.7 opponent boards per game over the L3 and ALT is allowing 62.3! Wow! Neither team is great but I’m riding the hot team getting +4.5 points. I don’t mind a play on the under 223.5. Vegas opened this at 225 and it’s down to 223.5. We have it projected anywhere from 207-213 so safely on the under.
RECENT GAMES: I like to look at the recent games and compare the opponents because stats can skew if a team is playing dominate NBA teams or tanking teams. CHA is impressive beating HOU 108-99, then only losing to Denver by 2 and Spurs by 1. They only lost by 8 to MIL and prior to that beat TOR by 3. Solid teams and they are playing close games. ATL lost by 17 to Memphis, lost by 6 to a terrible WAS team that doesn’t play defense and then another loss to Memphis 127-88.
BETTING TRENDS: CHA is 6-0 ATS in their L6 games. CHA total has gone under of 9 of last 11 games.
RECOMMENDED PLAY: TOR +4.5
ALGO PROJECTED SCORE: I like to see the L3 Model AND the New Algo on the same side but they are split here. L3 has TOR winning the game by 8 and the New Algo has Utah winning by 7. Sheet has a slight lean to Utah -4.5 but I don’t like it.
ANALYSIS: These two teams are almost dead on in the efficiency stats but the main difference is TOR playing at a pace that is 9.6 more possessions per game and scoring 13.4 more points per game. Everything in this game is close: Blocks & Steals 13.4 to 13.0, Turnovers 12.0 to 14.0, O/E 1.13 to 1.10 and D/E 1.06 to 1.04. There is the ever so slightest edge in rebounding to Utah as most games they are -1 and TOR is -6. In a game this close I have to take the points here with Toronto at +4.5.
RECENT GAMES: TOR beat SAC by 5, GSW by 8, PHO by 9 and then lost to Denver. Utah squeaked by DET winning by 6, BOS by 5, NYK by 8, CLE by 13 and WAS by 10.
BETTING TRENDS: TOR is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. TOR totals have gone over in 4 of last 5. TOR is 7-1 ATS in their L8 games vs. Utah.
MILW vs. DEN – I didn’t break down this game because there is no Giannis so the stats change drastically when a player like this is not playing. We have the slightest of leans to Denver -5.5 but I think this game is going to be close to that number and I don’t feel confident in giving out Denver. When Giannis is ON the court they score 115.6 and allow 99.3 and when he is OFF the court they score 112.9 and allow 106.3. So much close games when he is off. MILW played last night and lost to PHO in a high scoring affair so I’m worried about their fatigue for this game.
NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: @ CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Picks (February 28th) from CheatSheetPros!

NBA Sports Betting Picks (February 28th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!
PLAYS TO CONSIDER:
Our Model Projection: Toronto 112 vs. CHA 92
TORONTO -14 – I prefer this in a money line parlay because I hate laying double digit numbers in the NBA but Toronto has a massive advantage here. They lead offensive efficiency 1.05 to 0.92, and defensive efficiency 0.89 (#1 in the NBA) to 1.13. They also have a massive advantage on the blocks and steals 16.0 to 9.6 and lead NBA at 7 blocks per game! They are also shooting 11.6 more 3P’ers per game and hitting them at a 37% clip. Their eFG% is also 11% higher than CHA.
Our Model Projection: SACRAMENTO 110 vs. MEMPHIS 105
SACRAMENTO +3.5 – I have them winning this game outright as a dog so also like the ML here since you are getting “+” money. SAC has a massive edge in efficiency at 1.09 to 0.98 on offense and then 1.01 to 1.19 on defense. Memphis has lost 4 straight and 4-6 in their L10 games so I’m riding with SAC who has a +8% eFG%, 8% betting 3P% and 11% better FT%.
Our Model Projection: OKC 120 vs. MIL 117
OKC +11.5 – I think MIL wins this game as they are 26-3 at home and playing great ball right now. Also 9-1 in their L10 games and won 4 straight. However, OKC is also playing well as they are 8-2 in their L10 games and they have won 5 straight. This should be a good matchup but I think OKC can stay inside 11.5 and I’m going to hit the OKC money line a little as this one should be a pretty big “+” spot. These teams rank out pretty close to each other so grab the points.
Our Model Projection: WASHINGTON 116 vs. UTAH 109
WASHINGTON +10.5 – Let me start by saying 90% of the money is on UTAH in this game so I’d play this one light. I like WASH money line for another shot at a big “+” score. Utah has lost 4 straight games and 4-6 in their L10 games. Washington is shooting 11% better beyond the arc, 7 more FG attempts per game and they have a massive edge in blocks and steals at +5.4. Utah has the advantage on the glass but if WAS is hitting the 3’s and continuing their massive run at the “steals” category they could pull out a “W” here!
TOTALS WE LIKE:
WASHINGTON / UTAH over 232
Both teams are giving up more points than they are scoring so this one could be a shootout. WAS has a 1.10 D/E and Utah a 1.21! WAS also plays at a pace of around 112.2. We projected the pace of this game at 109.8 with an average offensive efficiency of 1.08 and defensive efficiency of 1.15 putting this around 241 possible points on the high end. Our model has this sliding under but I like a play on the over here. WAS in hitting the over in 59% of their games and 52% of the time in Utah games.
DETROIT / PHOENIX under 218.5
I hate betting unders! I typically also FADE the play if it is an under but something is jumping out for this game. We are projecting the pace of this game at 99.3 which is SLOW AS F**K. We like this to squeak in under the total. Opened at 220 and already moved down to 218.5 and holding the majority of the bets.
DALLAS / MIAMI over 228.5
Projected pace of this game is 109.2 putting it around 238.7 total points if you are running off the projected pace model. We have this game scoring 241 almost across the board and only in one scenario did we have it hitting 228. Both teams are killing it with the over covers at 63% and 61%. Slight this one over and cash that ticket!
NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: @ CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting ALGO picks went 10-0 this weekend and 13-2 since release.

Here are the plays for November 11, 2019. Up arrow if you like the content and free picks. This forum feels dead as this is the place I get the least feedback. I've created a custom free FLICK chat group (app for smartphones) for people to come in and talk sports betting picks, etc and it is like pulling teeth when you offer free stuff that is winning. So I'm going to give it one more try!
Toronto +10.5 - Rated #1
GSW +7.5 - Rated #1
Houston under 245 - Rated #1
Memphis over 223.5 - Rated #2
Boston over 218.5 - Rated #2
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
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NBA Sports Betting Picks for March 2nd!

NBA Sports Betting Report (March 2nd, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Back at it giving you some free plays and stats! Last article we posted we ended up 4-2. We hit the over in the CHI game, over in BKN game, Lakers under, Orlando +4.5 and then missed with CLE +8 (lost by 9, so close!) and we had Lakers -8 and somehow they got rolled by a terrible team that night.
Definitions & References:
O/E is offensive efficiency and that is how many points scored per 100 possessions.
D/E is defensive efficiency and that is how many points allowed per 100 possessions.
PLAYS TO CONSIDER:
The Play: Houston -10.5
Our Model Projected Score: Houston 124 vs. NYK 111
ANALYSIS: So these teams just played on 2/24 and Houston was 123-112 so the spread is pretty close to the same setup as before. I will likely put Houston ML into a parlay as I much prefer that to laying double digit points. However, slight lean to Houston here. Houston is 5-0 post all-star break and 20-10 in games with a margin of 10+ points. The only reason I “lean” to the -10.5 here is Houston and their 3 point shooting. They are taking 51 3P attempts per game and that is a whopping 31.7 attempts MORE per game than the NYK and also #1 in the NBA. Houston is also 10% better from the FT line and 8.4 blocks and steals per game better than NYK. Our sheet doesn’t have it covering by enough points for a play so I’m calling this a “lean” because the stats are so one-sided. This is whatever Houston wants it to be.
The Play: Orlando -6.5
Our Model Projected Score: Orlando 125 vs. Portland 108
ANALYSIS: So the sheet has a play here on Orlando because they have them covering the spread pretty easily. So after looking at our model projected score I want to dive into the stats a little bit more and make a determination for myself. First I look at injuries and Lillard is out for this game so I check the on/off court numbers. With Lillard out they are 9.3 less points per game and still allow about the same on defense. Portland is also 1-5 post All-Star break and have lost 3 straight. Orlando is playing solid ball right now, hopefully Aaron Gordon can play tonight because he has been red hot as of late. With both D/E around the same number the O/E is largely in favor of Orlando with a 1.16 vs. 1.03 edge. Orlando also scoring 126.3 PPG which is 18.6 more than POR over the L3. Taking Orlando to cover at home vs. a 10-22 road team in Portland without their superstar on the court.
The Play: Milwaukee -4
Our Model Projected Score: Milwaukee 111 vs. Miami 116
ANALYSIS: So yes the NBA sheet has a play on Miami and has them winning at home vs. MIL. However, I’m not bucking MILW anymore! MILW is 52-8 on the year and 25-5 on the road and 5-0 post All-Star break and 9-1 in their L10 games. In games of 10+ points they are 35-4. I don’t know what happened to MIL last night in that 93-85 game but prior to that they pounded a good OKC team 133-86 and beat TOR 108-97. My personal rule is don’t buck the Bucks! MIL has a big rebounding edge and a huge D/E advantage. MIL has a D/E of 0.85 vs. 1.15 of Miami. Can’t buck the Bucks even with Miami’s 25-4 home record!
The Play: Indiana -2
Our Model Projected Score: Indiana 116 vs. Spurs 106
ANALYSIS: Indy is 4-1 post All-Star break and they have 3 wins in a row under their belt while Spurs are sliding at 3-7 in their L10 games and 2-2 since the break. We have our model with Indy winning by around 10 as a -2 favorite and I don’t mind it. With most of the stats being pretty close the two that jump out are the efficiency numbers. Indy has an O/E advantage 1.12 vs. 1.01 and a huge D/E boost 0.94 vs. 1.11. Indy all the way!
NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: u/CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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Suggestions for ML for NBA sports betting?

I’ve been trying to make a predictive model for basic sports betting for NBA games and am having trouble getting good performance. I was wondering if anyone can link anything that could help, such as recommended features to use or models to use. Thanks!
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NBA Sports Betting Report - 4 Team Parlay with Screen Shots.

Article is here: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/post/nba-parlay-for-2-26-for-380
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Sides go 5-1 yesterday with 2 dogs winning outright as predicted!

NBA Sports Betting Sides go 5-1 yesterday with 2 dogs winning outright as predicted! submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Picks & Stats (February 11th) from CheatSheetPros!

NBA Sports Betting Report (February 11, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
I’m working on a new add on to the sports betting model on our NBA Cheatsheet. I’m making an ON/OFF database to sync in so if a big time player is OUT suddenly you can enter their name and change all the stats to match their on/off the court numbers. It is very time consuming but I’m going to get this done!
GAME BY GAME BREAKDOWN:
LA CLIPPERS (-1.5) OVER PHILLY
We have this game as 121-113 with LAC covering the small -1.5 spread. I’m going to agree with the sheet on this play and take the Clippers here. LAC is 7-3 in their L10 games while Philly has been struggling even though they have won 2 straight. Philly is a horrible 9-19 on the road but an amazing 24-2 at home. As for the total it opened at 225 and down to 224.5 and we have this game at 234 going over by 9 points. I do like the over here as both teams are playing at the same pace so we don’t have to worry about one team dragging the other down. The L3 average combined the teams are scoring 238 ppg and allowing 225 ppg so I think 224.5 is a good number.
NBA CheatSheet says: LAC -1.5 and over 224.5
KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: LAC is hitting 78% from the FT line the last 3 games while PHI is down to 66% for a 12% advantage to LAC. LAC has the edge on offensive efficiency at 1.19 vs. 1.07 for Philly.
CHICAGO (+3) vs. WASHINGTON
We have this game way to close to pick a side. We have WAS winning 114-112 and scoring 226 points total. With the Vegas spread opening at WAS -2.5 and moving to -3 and the total at 230 we are pretty in line with the Vegas numbers so I don’t think there is an edge here. My personal opinion says WAS -3 is the bet.
KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: WAS has a much better defensive efficiency over the L3 at allowing only a 1.09 vs. a whopping 1.21 for CHI. WAS also has 6.4 less turnovers per game over the L3 and 2.7 more blocks. CHI appears to be dominating the offensive boards with a couple more steals. Tight game but I like WAS here.
SPURS (+9) vs. THUNDER
I am off the sides for this game due to DeRozan being out. If I had more time this afternoon I’d dig into the on/off the court numbers for DeRozan and then the likely starting lineup but I don’t so I will pass. When there is a key injury in a game like this I don’t use the sheet (or at least until I have the on/off calculations built in!). So I’m watching the Vegas line and bet %. Right now we have OKC opened at -6.5 and moved out to -9. Total opened at 221.5 and moved down to 218.5 with 89% of the bets. I think the play here is on the under 218.5 if you want some action on this game. Both teams have a pace below 100. Spurs playing at 98.0 and Thunder playing at 97.6 and that results in less possessions and less points.
We like the UNDER 218.5 and don’t mine it parlayed with OKC moneyline.
KEY STATS THAT JUMP OUT: SAS are 8-19 on the road, 2-8 in their L10 games and lost 5 in a row. OKC is 17-11 at home and 8-2 in their last 10 games.
PORTLAND (+3) vs. PELICANS
What a game this should be with a 240 point Vegas total and a close -3 spread! We have this about as even as it gets with our models pegging this game at 119-118 Pelicans, 116-116, 118-118 and average out 118-118 for a 235-236 point total. I don’t think there is an edge here to be had. Pelicans are 10-16 at home and Portland is 10-18 on the road while both teams are 7-3 and 6-4 in their L10 games. Stats across the board are very close with the exception of POR having a 1.15 to 1.07 offensive efficiency advantage but then Pelicans take it back on the defensive said with a 1.06 vs. 1.11 advantage. NOR is taking down a ton more offensive boards per game but then they also have 6 more turnovers per game. 82% of the bets are on the under 240 total.
No opinion on this game and excited to see how it turns out!
BOSTON (+2) vs. HOUSTON
NBA cheat sheet has this as a BOS pick winning 114-109 with 223 total points scored. The stats say BOS has a 13% higher 3P% and an offensive efficiency advantage at 1.16 vs. 1.04 and a better defensive efficiency advantage allowing only a 1.08 vs. 1.13 number. BOS also has 9.6 more rebounds per game and 3.3 more offensive boards per game. BOS is also 9-1 in their L10 games and coming off of wins over OKC 112-111, ATL 112-107, ORL 116-100, ATL 123-115 and PHI 116-95. HOU is coming off two losses as UTAH squeaked by 114-113 and then PHO thumped Houston 127-91. However, HOU is also 18-8 at home. Sheet says take BOS on the money line. My opinion is that I can’t get HOU correct, when I’m on them they lose, when I’m against them they roll so I’m fading this game from a personal betting standpoint. For tracking I’m taking the sheet play of BOS +2.
RECAP OF OUR PLAYS I LIKE:
LAC -1.5
LAC over 224.5
WAS -3
OKC (money line) parlayed in with some other games you like.
REMEMBER! We still haven’t caught up with all the trades so some of the stats we are using are reflecting players that are not there anymore. Each team should have 3 new games under their belt before you really start using the stats!
NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: @ CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Report - (February 10th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!

NBA Sports Betting Report (February 10th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Last night we ended up going 6-1 on totals and then 2-4 on NBA sides. However, I did warn to be careful with the trades as it will take at least 3 games for the stats to catch up with players on new teams. Anyways, we started off HOT for NBA sides going 5-0, then going 5-2, then 8-0 and came back to earth at 2-4 last night for a 20-6 run. I have a video here if you would like to see it: https://youtu.be/ON8whBCdVfw
PLAYS TO CONSIDER:
CHA (+3.5) vs. DETROIT (O/U 205.5)
We have this game as 106-104 with DET winning but not covering the 3.5 point spread. This game is too close to the Vegas line for me to play but the sheet would say play CHA +3.5 so that is how it will be tracked. We have the total hitting 210 while it is 205.5 in Vegas. This is a 4.5 point difference. I don’t mind a play her on the over as we also have the “Strong Over Play” consideration come up. This is not a game I personally will bet due to the pace of play with CHA at 96.0 and then DET at 93.4 over the L3 games. Sheet says: CHA +3.5 and over 205.5
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: CHA is taking 19.2 more 3 point attempts per game over the L3 than DET. CHA is taking 8.7 more boards per game over the L3. CHA is also allowing 12 more points per 100 possessions than DET.
BKN (+6.5) vs. INDY
We have this game at BKN winning 119-112 AND they are getting +6.5 in Vegas so that is worth a play with some sprinkles on the money line for BKN. We have this pegged on the sheet as an over 218.5 play as we are projecting 231 points. SHARP Money is pulling the total down so that is enough for me to fade the total (personally) but take BKN +6.5. IND is 3-7 in their L10 games. Sheet says: BKN +6.5 and over 218.5
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: BKN is taking 10 more FG attempts per game and 9.7 more 3 point attempts per game. BKN has an offensive advantage over the L3 games 1.19 vs. 1.09 and a huge defensive efficiency advantage with 0.98 vs. 1.15. BKN also has 11.6 more rebounds per game and 5.3 more offensive boards per game over the L3.
ATLANTA (+8.5) vs. ORL
So ATL is coming off a 2 OT game last night vs. NYK where they squeaked out a 5 point win. So fatigue is a concern for me but the sheet doesn’t see fatigue this is a “common sense” thing that you have to understand. We have it as 120-105 ATL winning the game but I think it will be closer. ATL is 6-22 on the road but ORL is 2-8 in their L10 games and lost 3 straight. Not my favorite play but worth a little bet. I am fading the total because we have it only 4 points to the over and that is not enough for me to get excited and the total numbers are slightly skewed because of the 2OT game last night so I would fade the total myself. Sheet says: ATL +8.5 and over 220
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: ATL is shooting 92% from the free throw line over the L3 vs. only 81% for ORL. 10% margins typically show up in the end game. Although ORL doesn’t send many people to the FT line with only 17 attempts per game vs. 26.7 allowed by ATL. Offensive efficiency is ATL 1.10 vs. 0.97 for ORL and both team defensive efficiencies are the same at 1.08.
MIN +10 vs. TORONTO
We have this pegged at 120-117 with MIN winning. However, keep in mind we need 3 games to get the stats to catch up with the trades and new players. So sheet says play on MIN +10 as this should be a tight game. MIN is only 9-16 pm the road and 1-9 in their L10 games. TOR has won 14 straight and 20-7 at home and 10-0 in their last 10. MIN will hopefully be able to stay inside the number. We like playing on the total here as the “Strong Over Look” indicator comes up. We have this at 237 total points and Vegas opened at 228.5 and moved to 230.5. If you have watched the video the last 3 game indicators are both hitting there. Sheet says: MIN +10 and over 230.5
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: Both teams are identical in offensive efficiency and with in 0.01 of defensive efficiency. MIN has 4.3 more turnovers per game over the L3 than TOR and that could be the key factor here. Another stat jumping out at me is that MIN only covers the spread 36.7% of the time and 1-9 in their L10 games!
SACRAMENTO +10.5 vs. MILW
So we are awaiting the birth of Giannis’s child to see if he will play in this game or not. If he does not play SAC +10.5 is a rock solid play, if Giannis does play then I have more concern. MIL is 24-3 at home and 9-1 in their L10 games they are a solid unit this year. We have this with MIL winning around 112-110. Line opened at SAC +14.5 and has been bet down to +10.5 so we have the “Big Line Shift Alert” popping up on the sheet. We are close enough on the total that it isn’t a bet for me personally but we have it slightly going under. I rarely bet unders and only bet overs but for tracking sheet says SAC +10.5 and under 228.5.
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: Look at key on/off numbers with Giannis unlikely to play.
DALLAS (-1.5) vs. UTAH
Sheet says DAL 113-110 so take the +1.5. I’m off of this game due to injuries and Vegas money and line is moving to Utah. For tracking I’ll have down Dallas +1.5 but for my personally I’m off the game. Statwise Dallas makes sense if you are looking at the sheet but not a top play for me.
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: One of the things I like here is DAL has 3.3 less turnovers per game over their L3. The only worry I have is Porzingis didn’t play well in his last game with the broken nose. If he can play to his potential I like Dallas. All other stats are pretty close in this game.
DENVER (-7) vs. SPURS
We have this game close to the Vegas spread with DEN winning 116-107 covering the -7 point spread. We also have the game going over the 216.0 number and hitting 222. This is where some common sense comes into play. Sheet says 222 for a total, Vegas opened at 222 and then has been hammered down 5 points to 216.0. Since this is such a large line movement I’m staying away from the total because that is going to negative a sheet play. SHARP MONEY is hammering the under so if you are going to play here I would play the UNDER 216 points. Denver is 20-6 at home while Spurs are 8-18 on the road. Spurs are also 3-7 in their L10 games and have lost 4 in a row while DEN has won 3 straight. Lay it! Sheet says DENVER -7.
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: Spurs are allowing a 49% 3P% to the opposing team while Denver is only allowing a 31% and that is a huge 18% gap between the two. Offensive efficiency DENVER is at 1.14 while Spurs only 1.08 and defensive efficiency we see a huge gap with Spurs allowing a 1.27 over the L3 games meaning they are allowing 127 points per 100 possessions which is unheard of and DENVER only allowing a 1.01 meaning they are allowing only a 101 points per 100 possessions. DENVER also has 14.7 more rebounds per game over the L3 and 3.3 more offensive boards per game. There are also several smaller factors I consider that add up over the course of the game like Denver having 3.3 more blocks per game and 1.3 more steals per game.
PHO (+12.5) vs. LAKERS
Sheet says play on PHO at +12.5 and over 229. My personal opinion is that the Lakers are a team that is hard to count on or count out so I typically avoid them unless I’m betting Lakers. I don’t mind the over but it doesn’t blow me away. We have the Lakers winning 118-114 and PHO covering the +12.5.
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: One thing that I feel good with PHO here is that they are shooting 94% from the FT line over the L3 games while LAL is only shooting 72%. With 20-25 FT attempts per game that is going to add up. Lakers also allowing a 45% 3P% over the L3 games compared to only 33% by PHO. LAL have 10.7 more rebounds per game and both teams have a shit ton of turnovers per game with 17.7 and 18.0 per game which is a bunch!
GSW (+5) vs. MIA
Golden state is another team that is tricky. 75% of the money is on Miami but GSW took the line shift with only 26% of the money indicating sharp bettors are hitting GSW. We have this game with GSW winning 111-110 so taking the +5. Total is 219 and we have it at 221 so slightly going over. Sheet says GSW +5 and over 219
KEY STATS TO CONSIDER: With new players and injuries the stats here don’t mean as much. The one thing I’m looking at is MIA is taking 10 more 3P attempts per game over the L3. MIA is giving up 46.7 3P attempts per game while GSW only giving up 28.3. MIA has done a good job of keeping people off the FT line. MIA is averaging 10 more boards per game than GSW.
RECAP OF THE PLAYS I PERSONALLY LIKE:
BKN +6.5
MINNY +10
MINNY over 230.5
DENVER -7
SAC +10.5
SHARP MONEY AT 3:30 PM
GSW +5 / DENVER UNDER 216 / BKN UNDER 218.5

NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: u/CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
NBA Sports Betting CheatSheets: $13/month @ CheatSheetPros.com
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Report (January 28th) from CheatSheetPros!

NBA Sports Betting Report (January 28th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros! << Up arrow if you like it. >>
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
PLAYS TO CONSIDER:
NYK +2 – CHA is 2-8 in their L10 games. In a quick comparison of these two teams NYK have a better offensive efficiency in their L3 at 1.08 vs. 0.92 that is a 15 point difference per 100 possessions. The effective possession ratio which includes rebounding and turnovers they also lean 0.98 to 0.93. Over the L3 games NYK are averaging 8 more boards per game. We have NYK winning this game. Just an FYI SHARP MONEY is hitting the under 209.
GSW/PHI OVER 215 – So this opened at 213 and up to 215 with 98% of the bets. Hard to believe when the GSW are 26-21 for the under and PHI is 25-21 for the under. We have this game hitting somewhere around 219-220 pretty consistently. I don’t love it but I’m going to play it because the numbers have made me a lot of money.
BOSTON/MIAMI OVER 219.5 – This is one of our “Hammer Plays” and it opened at 217 and moved to 219.5 with 76% of the bets. We have this game hitting as low as 222 and as high as 232 so 219.5 is still a little low. Last 3 PPG combined teams are scoring 233, allowing 220 and our 4 models I run have this at 230, 222, 229 and 232. Take the over.
WASHINGTON +12 – This line is going crazy with no Giannis, opened at -16 and down to 11.5 or 12. MIL has a 6.6 points per game difference without Giannis they allow around 3.2 more and score 3.4 less so I’m leaning the points here. MIL has an incredible record 21-2 at home and 9-1 in their L10. Number wise we say take the points and you can sprinkle a little on the massive ML.
DENVER +1.5 – This opened at pick and now Memphis -1.5. In a quick comparison Denver is by far the better team. They are 3 points better per 100 possessions in OE over their L3 and they are whopping 13 points better per 100 in the effective possession ratio, 2.3 more boards per game and 4.7 less turnovers, our models have this game 112-110, 115-109, 115-112 and 115-111 with Denver winning in each scenario.
DENVER under 224 – Line opened at 226 now down to 224. I typically don’t be many unders but 99% of the money is on the under so I’m putting it out there. All of our models has this really close to the total.
DALLAS/PHO under 227 – Sharp money is hammering this total that opened at 228.5 and down to 227.0. My personal preference is just not to be an “under” but I usually bet anything that a “sharp money” alert comes in on. We have this game at 219, 222, 226 and 220 across 4 models so going 6-8 points under. My worry is that these teams are a combined 51-41 for the over. But if you are on the fence I’m putting it out there. Sharp plays are on a 5-0 run for what it’s worth.
NEW for 2020! – Follow Us on TWITTER: u/CheatSheetPros and get any last minutes plays we like!
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Picks for March 2nd!

submitted by CheatSheetProscom to FantasyNBAPlays [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Picks - February 6th, 2020 - from CheatSheetPros!

Hey guys,
Games I like tonight are:
Orlando over 207.5 + MIL (moneyline) + LAL (moneyline) + LAL over 237
If you want to add a 5th game I like taking a shot on PORTLAND -3 or -3.5.
Here is a VIDEO BREAKING DOWN the plays I like and how they look on the CHEATSHEET today!
https://youtu.be/mkP_13pGljA
Thanks for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Picks from CheatSheetPros! 3-2 Yesterday Top Plays, 8-3 Overall, 16-4 on the year!

NBA Sports Betting Picks (November 12th) from CheatSheetPros! << Up arrow if you are reading the content! >>
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Yesterday our #1 and #2 rated plays went 3-2. We won against the betting public with a Houston under, Hit a Dallas over and then took a loss with GSW plus the points. We split 1-1 with two close games with TOR +10.5 or +11 depending on your book and they lost by 10 squeaking out a cover. We has Spurs over 223.5 and it finished at 222 for a loss. We were close to 4-1 but also could of went the other way. #1 and #2 rated plays were 13-2 coming into Monday, finished at 3-2 and now at 16-4 since release
OVERALL PLAYS:
I don’t have time to do this every day but I went back through the NBA cheatsheet and look at ALL PLAYS if you followed the ALGO pick and it was very interesting. With 6 games they went 4-2 on totals, 4-1-1 on sides and finished a nice 8-3-1 across the board. Another interesting spot was a few games that were almost spot on. We had Boston winning 116-110 and the final was 116-106, we had Houston winning 121-111 and the final was 122-116.
EARLY PLAYS:
Right now at 8:15 am several games don’t have posted lines yet. But I wanted to give you the couple plays that are jumping out early.
IND OVER 212.5 – This line opened at 209.5 and has already jumped 3 points today to 212.5 with 91% of the early tickets. I would get it now before it goes higher. We have this game projected at 224-225 total points for a #1 rated play.
UTAH OVER 218.5 – This line opend at 217 and quickly moved 1.5 points to 218.5 with 98% of the early tickets. We have this as a #2 rated play for the day with our algo putting this game at 227-228 total points.
CONSIDER: PORTLAND -2 / UNDER 224.5 – This is not jumping as one of our rated plays right now but with Fox ruled out this opened at Portland +2 and quickly moved to -2. I like the Portland side. The line also opened at 227 and quickly moved down to 224.5 for a 2.5 under shift. We have this game at 223-224 but I have not manually calculated the difference with Fox out. I lean Portland and personally passing on the under but putting it out there!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our Premium Cheatsheets for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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NBA Sports Betting Tips - How we had DENVER +9.5 - Free CheatSheets Today!

NBA Sports Betting Tips - How we had DENVER +9.5 - Free CheatSheets Today! submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Report (January 28th) from CheatSheetPros!

submitted by CheatSheetProscom to FantasyNBAPlays [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Picks & Stats (February 11th) from CheatSheetPros!

submitted by CheatSheetProscom to FantasyNBAPlays [link] [comments]

Top NBA Sports Betting Play - DENVER/CLE over 218! #CheatSheetPros!

Top NBA Sports Betting Play - DENVECLE over 218! #CheatSheetPros!
NBA SPORTS BETTING PICKS:
TOP TIER: DenveCLE over 218 - Hammer!
You'll nice my NBA CheatSheet also have my personal bets and leans on them now.
TIER 2: Lakers, Pelicans +10 & MIN +11 (like a half unit on the ML too),
TIER 3 Plays: DET o216, MIL u228.5 ~ Good Luck!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our Premium Cheatsheets for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
https://preview.redd.it/61lvbzphy6a41.png?width=1542&format=png&auto=webp&s=f0e429a604b558043de231980233bd568f8fc9ec
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our Premium Cheatsheets for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Odds Dataset?

I'm looking for historical NBA sports betting odds dataset. Does anyone know where I can get it?
Odds for moneyline, spreads, and total would be great.
I know www.sportsbookreview.com had those data from 2006, but my scraper broke and I'd rather not re-write another one.
Please and thank you.
submitted by morningshower to datasets [link] [comments]

Is there a subreddit for NBA sports betting and tips?

submitted by purplepanda_36 to findareddit [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Picks went 6-0 yesterday, here is a video how to use our CheatSheet!

NBA Plays went 6-0 yesterday! How to use the sheet for NBA sports betting picks!
https://youtu.be/EV4M-UNjJPI
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

'It's About Gambling, All of It': How the NBA's Sports Betting Interests Propelled a Key Rule Change | The Action Network

'It's About Gambling, All of It': How the NBA's Sports Betting Interests Propelled a Key Rule Change | The Action Network submitted by willpmartin to Sports_Tech [link] [comments]

NBA Sports Betting Tips

#1 — Use a bankroll management scheme
#2 — Monitor betting line movements
#3 — Take note of important team stats
#4 — Never underestimate home-court advantage
#5 — Consider the fatigue factor

Source: https://www.bitcoinsportsbetting.co.uk/news/5-helpful-pointers-for-nba-sports-bettors/
submitted by shielasmithCI to sportsgambling [link] [comments]

NBA Betting Systems - Win Money Betting on Basketball Classic Sports Betting - Kobe's Seventh Championship ... Sports Betting 101: NBA Betting Basics (NBA Tips - NBA Betting Tips) Sports BIT  NBA Betting 101 Sports Betting Tips: NBA Zig-Zag Theory

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NBA Betting Systems - Win Money Betting on Basketball

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