2011 Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge To Offer Up To

Preview of the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes and more

Saturday October 12, 2019
Belmont Park
Race: 7 (4:06 PM EST Post)
Floral Park Stakes
Goldwood has rattled off five straight Stakes wins, all with strong speed figures and excellent final times. Five year old mare by Medaglia d’Oro is now 9 for 18 in her career and appears to tower over these……solid, albeit short priced, choice…………..Fire Key just missed catching Goldwood last time out, is as consistent as the day is long and loves this surface as her 9-4-3-0 record over it would indicate…figures bang up here………..Mominou was beaten fair and square by my top choice two back but absolutely whistled home in her last. Good looking daughter by Congrats set a scorching early pace but had plenty left late to win a $200,000 Stakes race at Saratoga July 21. I’m not worried about the 2 ½ months she’s had off recently as she seems to run well “fresh”……………Honorable Mentions: I’llhandalthecash has won two of her first career starts but might be able to handle to class rise here.
Race: 9 (5:13 PM EST Post)
Sands Point Stakes
Although she set a snail’s pace over a turf labelled “good”, Romantic Pursuit led to deep stretch of the Grade: 1 Jockey Club Oaks Invitational in her last. Another by Medaglia d’Oro, this filly is the recipient of one of more favorite angles as she drops in class and cuts back in distance, which in turn should make her harder to catch. I like the ascending speed figures through her last five races as well……tepid choice in a closely matched field…………………..New and Improved is a stretch runner by up and coming sire Cairo Prince. This Chad Brown trainee won at first asking and, after registering a good :23.1 final quarter mile, she was charging hard, late and finished just 1 ¼ lengths behind the winner in a Restricted Stakes field. With further improvement, she is a serious threat here……………..Albeit Dyna Passer is just 1 for 8 in her career, she is bred nine ways to Sunday for the turf and has hit the board in 5 of 6 tries over the “weeds”. She totally outran her odds (43-1) while finishing fifth in the Belmont Oaks in July and again in the aforementioned Jockey Club Oaks Invitational (23-1) and finished ahead of Romantic Pursuit in the process. Another who figures close………………………Honorable Mentions: Feel Glorious has only run one bad race in three countries and through 11 career starts with eight of those 11 coming in Stakes races. She handles any footing and the stretch out in distance should only help her…..could better this rating……………………..Olendon is still another who shown little while being overmatched recently and drops into a more reasonable spot here.

Keeneland Race Course
Race: 9 (5:30 PM EST Post)
Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes
Cambier Parc is a well-traveled, $1,250,000 daughter of (you guessed it) Medaglia d’Oro who is 4 for 7 in her career with legitimate excuses in all three defeats. Nice looking filly was visually impressive uncorking a five wide move on the turn and winning her first Grade: 1 at Del Mar last time out…looks best in a very well matched field………………….Regal Glory is almost impossible to leave off my tickets. Filly by Animal Kingdom sports a super impressive record of 7-5-2-0, including a pair of Graded Stakes win. The problem I’m seeing is her speed figures don’t stack up very well compared to some of the other in here. Past that, she commands respect in this spot………………………….I was very impressed with Magnetic Charm’s North American debut. Bay filly by Exceed and Excel chased the talented Starship Jubilee at Woodbine last time out and finished a very good second. However, note the approximate 1:46.4 seconds it took her to get nine furlongs. Now note that was over a yielding turf course. That, readers, is a supersonic time under those conditions. …………………Honorable Mentions: I hope I’m not underestimating Castle Lady in this spot. This filly was 3 for 4 in her career overseas with her one defeat coming in the prestigious Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. She goes first time Lasix and this should be a drop in class for her. Looms a threat for sure…………………..I’m not sure if it was the “good” turf course or the fact she travelled across the country or both that led to Lady Prancealot’s disappointing effort last time out because this stretch runner ran bang up races in all six prior starts. Although she is just 3 for 15 in her career, I do except her to be “coming” late………………..Varenka finished in a dead heat with Regal Glory last time out. Obvious threat should she repeat that effort in this spot…………………….Cafe Americano passed 10 horses in the final five furlongs, including getting the last furlong in a strong :11.3, to win a Stakes race at Arlington last time out. The Brisnet Speed Figure she recorded that day puts her among the vanguard in this field as well. Long-shot possibility?.....................Kelsey’s Cross is 6 for 6 on the board in her career including finishing within shouting distance of my top pick and the mega talented, but now sidelined Concrete Rose, so you know she has some ability…may not be completely out of this race.
By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 72-206 = 35%
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%

Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** Magnum Moon, winner of the 2018 Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby, was euthanized last Friday at the Cornell Ruffian Equine Specialists hospital in Elmont, N.Y. after over a year-long battle with laminitis, according to a news release from Jacob West, the racing manager for owners Robert and Lawana Low.
The gorgeous bay colt, sidelined since sustaining a career-ending injury during a morning workout in June 2018 at Belmont Park, initially received treatment for multiple fractures before his condition deteriorated.
"He was a special colt that was obviously talented on the racetrack but also very smart and courageous during his treatment," the Lows said in the release. "Magnum Moon was all class until the very end. We cherished him dearly and thank him for all the joy, great times, and for the inspiration he brought to our lives."

**** Multiple Grade 1 winner World of Trouble has been retired and will enter stud at Hill 'n' Dale Farms for the 2020 breeding season. He will stand for a fee of $15,000.
A leader in the sprint division on both dirt and turf, the son of Kantharos captured both the Grade: 1 Carter Handicap on dirt at Aqueduct Racetrack and the Grade: 1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes on the Belmont Park turf this year.
He retires with a record of 9-2-1 from 13 starts with earnings of $1,263,300 for owners Michael Dubb, Madaket Stables, and Bethlehem Stables.
"He's the fastest horse I ever owned," said Dubb. "My jaw dropped every time he raced. He was such an easy horse, as he could run on anything. He won grade 1 races on both dirt and turf in New York this season, something that probably will not happen for me ever again. Since we couldn't make the Breeders' Cup due to a foot bruise, we decided it's best for him to start making babies."

**** Grade:1 winner Preservationist has also been retired from racing and will stand stud at Mr. and Mrs. Brereton C. Jones’s Airdrie Stud for the 2020 breeding season.
Preservationist was one of this year’s top-rated older horses following wins in the Woodward Stakes at Saratoga and Belmont Park’s Suburban Handicap. Trained throughout his career by Jimmy Jerkens, Preservationist retires with a record of 11-6-1-2 and earnings of $1,084,550.
“Preservationist was one of the most gifted and generous horses I’ve ever trained,” said Jerkens. “I’ve said multiple times that the two best training horses I’ve ever had were Preservationist and Quality Road. I’m convinced he would’ve stamped himself as a top miler had he not so excelled at the longer distances.”
Preservationist will stand his first season at Airdrie for a stud fee of $10,000.

**** Bill Mott has ruled Tacitus out of this year's Breeders' Cup Classic.
“We're going to give him some time, let him grow,” Mott said of Tacitus, a Tapit son out of champion and five time Grade; 1 winner Close Hatches.
Mott added that Yoshida, most recently third in the Woodward, and Elate, are still under consideration for the Classic.
Mott's preference for Elate is the Classic distance of 1 1/4 miles, rather than the Distaff at 1 1/8 miles. The mare will be cross-entered in the Distaff and the Classic, but Mott is “leaning towards the Classic”.
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The Devil's Advocate: An Argument FOR and AGAINST Every Horse in the Kentucky Derby

With the Kentucky Derby just over a week away, the field is shaping up to be one of the more evenly matched groups in recent years. Often the most overanalyzed 2 minutes in sports, there are countless articles telling you who to bet, who’s hot, and who’s not. Like many others, I’ve been spending a lot of my free time pouring over PPs, watching replays at the office (shh), and trying to find the likeliest winners. However, instead of simply writing an article about who I like, I thought it would be more interesting to give a brief argument for and against each horse in the Derby.

This ended up being a lot longer than I anticipated, so feel free to skim over horses or buckle down for a long read. It’s a bit of a different take, so I hope you enjoy.

+ Tacitus is impeccably bred, by Tapit out of the stakes winning mare Close Hatches, and has improved in every start. He proved the Tampa Derby victory was no fluke when he displayed an ability to overcome adversity after getting knocked sideways at the break in the Wood Memorial.
- Tacitus came home very slow in the Wood, running a final 3/8ths in 38.2 seconds and a final 1f in 13.4 seconds. There have only been 3 horses to win the Derby who did not run a final 3f in at least 38 seconds or a final 1f in at least 13 seconds in the last 29 years (Animal Kingdom, Mine That Bird, and Silver Charm). 22 of the past 29 Derby winners qualified on both fractions. He also benefitted from a long shot significantly compromising some of his competition at the break.

Omaha Beach:
+ Despite taking some time to break his maiden, once the light bulb turned on for this horse nobody has been able to beat him. He owns the field’s second highest Beyer at 101, highest Thorograph figure at -2, and is proven over a fast and sloppy track. Mike Smith chose this horse over a very strong Baffert candidate in Roadster despite his connection with Baffert.
- Omaha Beach has peaked too early, and is a very strong bounce candidate in the Derby. His most recent thorograph figure of a -2 represents a 4 point jump from his previous top, and from 1995 onwards 64.3% of horses who ran a -2 or better in their final prep have significantly regressed in the Derby. As the likely favorite coming off of 2 very strenuous efforts, he is a play against.

+ Vekoma ran arguably the best race of any 2-year-old in the Nashua, and looked very strong in the Bluegrass. He sat too close to a scorching pace in the Fountain of Youth first off the bench, but came right back with a solid win. He has the right run style to sit just off the pace and make his move, so he should be able to avoid trouble in a crowded field like the Derby pending the draw. A step forward is possible third off the layoff.
- Vekoma, like Tacitus, does not qualify on the final fractions theory, coming home in a pedestrian 39.4 / 13.4 seconds for the final 3f / 1f in the Bluegrass. He is an ugly mover, as he runs with a paddling motion with his front legs, and the bottom half of his pedigree with Speightstown as a damsire suggests 10f will be too far for him. He also was the main beneficiary of a strong speed bias at Keeneland that day for his final prep.

Plus Que Parfait:
+ Plus Que Parfait is the only horse in the field proven at a distance greater than 9f on dirt, as he convincingly won the ~9.5f UAE Derby. His pedigree suggests he should love the extra ground of the Derby. He was able to close into a track known for a speed bias, even in spite of a new surface.
- No horse who has used the UAE Derby as their Kentucky Derby prep has ever run in the top 3 in the Kentucky Derby, with the best finish coming being fifth in 2011. The race is historically a terrible prep for the Run for the Roses, and this year’s field seems even weaker than usual. PQP was routinely trounced by local US competition and had to ship abroad to face inferior horses to even make the gate.

+ Roadster was the horse Baffert was most excited about as a 2 year old, earning him the nickname of “The TMZ horse.” He has been a monster since getting throat surgery to fix a breathing issue, and has beaten the consensus “top” Baffert horse in Game Winner in the SA Derby. He’s shown versatility in his running style, displaying an ability to close last out but also possessing the tactical speed to avoid trouble. He has every right to improve in his third start as a 3 year old.
- Roadster was the beneficiary of a very poor trip from his main rival, Game Winner, who ended up going 4 wide around both turns in a short field. Roadster still barely got up to win by a half-length, and his thorograph number of 2.25 was actually 2 points worse than Game Winner (0.25). Roadster’s last 2 wins have come in fields of 6 and 5 horses, respectively, and he will now have to navigate 19 other horses. Mike Smith defects to Omaha Beach despite a strong connection with Baffert, and this horse will likely be a short price on Derby day due to the recent hype.

By My Standards:
+ By My Standards has been really turning heads in the mornings since getting to Churchill with some very impressive workouts. He comfortably won the Louisiana Derby at a big price, recording an impressive Beyer of 97. He has rapidly improved his last 2 starts, and another move forward makes him competitive with the best in this field.
- The Louisiana Derby has not produced a Kentucky Derby winner since Grindstone in 1996, and is historically a weak prep compared to the others. By My Standards caught a weak field and was very fortunate when the heavy favorite, War of Will, took a bad step in the early part of the race and failed to fire his usual effort. By My Standards has lost against mediocre horses multiple times before this, and it’s more likely his Louisiana Derby effort was a flash in the pan against a weak field than a true coming out party.

Maximum Security:
+ Maximum Security enters the Derby as the only undefeated horse in the field. Since the adoption of the Kentucky Derby points system, every Derby winner has gone undefeated in their 3 year old season. He owns the field’s highest Beyer at 102, and the co-second highest Beyer of 101, and is the only horse with multiple 100+ Beyer races on his resume. His thorographs are strong despite never being asked for his best. He has the right running style for the Derby, with a lot of early speed but not the type to need the lead, and he has yet to even be challenged by his competition.
- Maximum Security is in significantly over his head. The horse debuted for a 16k claiming tag, and he wasn’t even claimed. Servis then pointed him to a restricted starter allowance race, which he won easily. Despite two monster victories, Servis, a clever and high percentage trainer, still did not point him to a stakes or prep race, but instead brings him back in yet another starter allowance race. Servis is an intelligent trainer, and he tried giving this horse away in his debut, and then only thought enough of him to enter him in two separate restricted starter allowance races despite large victories. When he finally entered stakes company in the Florida Derby, he got to walk the dog on the lead and set absolutely laughable fractions, so slow that a maiden was able to finish second simply by being near the lead. This is a horse who is just happy to be here and will fold with any real pace pressure going 10f.

Game Winner:
+ Game Winner is the most battle tested and consistent horse in the field. He had a tough trip in the SA Derby going 4 wide where he was likely not cranked all the way up, and his Rebel Effort was impressive for the first race off a layoff losing an incredibly close photo to the likely Derby favorite Omaha Beach. He should love the extra ground, and goes out for a trainer who knows a thing or two about getting his horses peaking at the right time.
- Game Winner has not exactly lived up to his name, as he’s been runner up twice in both of his starts as a 3 year old after being undefeated as a juvenile. The horses Game Winner was beating as a 2 year old have proven to be relatively weak moving into their 3 year old season. No other runner in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile even made the Kentucky Derby starting gate, with Signalman being closest listed as an Also Eligible. It could be fair to say that Game Winner may have matured a bit faster than his competition at 2, but now the field has caught up and he may have ceded an edge to the other top California based horses. He is the likeliest candidate in the field to hit the board, but it’s questionable if he will have that final kick to come in first.

Code of Honor:
+ Code of Honor ran a respectable third in a snails-paced Florida Derby where nobody was making up any ground. He goes out for top tier connections, and he has a jockey on board who is known for his ground saving trips. He has more tactical speed than some of the other deep closers in this field, so he should get first jump on the tiring leaders before the likes of Country House and Win Win Win can make their move.
- Code of Honor was the lucky beneficiary of an absolute pace meltdown in his Fountain of Youth victory, and in another 2 jumps Bourbon War was blowing right by him. He has not significantly improved on his thorograph 2 year old top, and would need a big jump forward coupled with a clean trip and a pace meltdown to even have a chance. There are other stalkers with more front speed than him and other closers with a better final kick.

+ Haikal has done little wrong in his career, with a record of 5: 3-1-1. He proved his Gotham score wasn’t a fluke by running a respectable third in the Wood, and he has one of the best closing kicks in the field. If the West’s elect to use MS as a rabbit and the pace heats up, look for him late.
- Haikal has managed to outrun his pedigree this far, but this is as far as talent will take him. A half-brother to Takaful, the 2017 G1 Vosburgh Sprint winner, this is a horse at his best running in a one turn mile or shorter. He was one of the few not significantly impacted by the poor start in the Wood, yet was still soundly beaten by the top two finishers.

+ An early Derby favorite, Improbable’s only two losses have come by a combined length and a quarter with good excuses. He was very wide in both turns in the Rebel when getting nailed by Long Rang Toddy at the wire, and he acted up badly in the gate of the Arkansas when loading first and having to wait while trying blinkers for the first time. His natural ability and raw talent put him near the top of this field, and he has the second highest thorograph in the field with a -1. Any repeat of that effort or slight improvement is probably good enough to win.
- Improbable is another who is pedigree challenged to get the distance. City Zip is notorious for siring sprinters, and while the bottom side of his pedigree has stamina, his top side is pure speed. He gets yet another new rider, his third in three races. Baffert removes the blinkers after trying them last out, and you never like to see equipment changes trying to figure out a horse in the first Saturday in May.

War of Will
+ Draw a line through War of Will’s last race, as he lost all chance when he lost action in the first 100 yards. Outside of that, you have a horse who is undefeated on dirt, possesses a great stalking run style, and is bred to run for days. Proven over fast and off tracks, he has steadily improved and paired 1s on thorograph until the Louisiana Derby.
- War of Will breaks just about every Derby rule of thumb regarding final prep before the race. Final fraction, ground loss, finish no worse than fourth, he fails them all. Couple that with the chance that he is not 100% after the Louisiana Derby incident, and he becomes a horse who is very hard to trust.

Long Range Toddy
+ Long Rang Toddy is a horse who always tries his heart out. Toss his last race where he may not have cared for the slop, and you have a horse who is ultra-consistent and ever improving. He bested Improbable, one of the Baffert monsters, in the Rebel, and then likely bounced a bit in his last race. Another new top here could make him dangerous, as he projects to sit a good stalking trip.
- Long Range Toddy is a heartwarming story of a Remington Park horse making the Derby, but he just isn’t good enough. He only has one Beyer in the 90s, and even his best thorograph of 4 is significantly weaker than most of the field. He got lucky with a dream trip and a great ride to beat Improbable in the Rebel.

+ Tax has seen massive improvement since Danny Gargan claimed him out of a maiden claiming $50,000 race back in October. He stumbled badly in the Withers yet came very strong to fight on and get the win. This horse is very game and has moved forward with each start. He was a good second to Tacitus in the Wood, and the result may have been different if Tacitus did not lean on him and induce him to the rail.
- Tax got a great trip in the Wood, as he was not dramatically impacted by the poor start and sat a perfect stalking trip behind two dueling leaders. Despite that, he still could not hold off Tacitus, who had a tougher trip all around. His final fractions are too slow, and he is simply an inferior version of Tacitus.

Cutting Humor:
+ Cutting Humor comes from the highly respected Pletcher barn after an impressive win over well-regarded Anothertwistafate in the Sunland Derby. His final 3f and 1f fractions are the fastest of any horse in the field today, and he is coming off a big effort. He gets 6 weeks rest to recover from that, making another big effort possible.
- Cutting Humor was beaten soundly in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn, and he had to go to a much easier spot to secure his place in the starting gate on May 4th. No winner of the Sunland Derby has even won the Kentucky Derby, with Mine That Bird being the only horse to prep at Sunland and win the Kentucky Derby at odds of 50-1. His final fraction times are artificially inflated due to how fast the track was playing that day, evidenced by his “just okay” Beyer of 95.

Win Win Win:
+ Win Win Win ran a lightning fast race in the Pasco Stakes at Tampa, and a repeat of that effort makes him very dangerous here. His last few losses have come with excuses, as he broke very slowly and was very wide in the Tampa Derby while favored over Tacitus. In the Bluegrass, he was the only horse to make up ground on the speed favoring track all day, and he was steadied badly while entering the stretch. It was very impressive to make up ground after losing all momentum, and he may have won that race with a better trip.
- Win Win Win can’t get out of his own way. He repeatedly breaks very poorly from the gate and has morphed from a horse running near the lead into a dead closer. He has a penchant for troubled trips, and his best races have come in shorter races. Julien Pimentel and Michael Trombetta are a respectable jockey/trainer pair, but they are outclassed against the best connections in the country.

Country House:
+ Country House has one of the best closing kicks in this entire field. He has been a bit of a slow learner, as he often breaks slow and lugged in down the stretch, but he has matured with every start. He may have run down War of Will if not for some green racing down the stretch in the Risen Star. He has never been out of the money in all his tries on dirt and looms a major threat when turning for home.
- Ultra-deep closers like Country House are massively disadvantaged in the Kentucky Derby since the inception of the points system, and Country House routinely spots the field 10 lengths from the onset. There is not a lot of early pace signed on in this field, and he would need an absolute pace meltdown with a dream trip to have a chance of getting the win. He lost ground in the stretch run of the Arkansas Derby to both Omaha Beach and Improbable, never something you want to see from your deep closer.

Gray Magician:
+ Gray Magician took a nice step forward when switching to the Peter Miller barn and stretching out in distance and moved forward again when going from the 1-mile races in California to the 1900m UAE Derby. It’s quite possible he further improves adding another furlong at Churchill. He has some tactical speed, so he could sit a nice trip just off the leaders to avoid trouble.
- He’s simply too slow. His career best Beyer is nearly 20 points slower than the top contenders here, and he was embarrassed when facing competition in California who weren’t good enough to even make the Derby trying US preps. The UAE Derby was very weak, and it is a poor prep even with a strong field.

+ Spinoff was very impressive in his 3-year-old debut, winning by daylight in a Tampa allowance race before running a respectable second in the Louisiana Derby. He has the perfect run style, listed as an E/P 7 (pace pressing) on Brisnet, which has produced the most Derby winners in recent years (Justify, American Pharoah, California Chrome). His pedigree suggests he should handle the distance, and he’s lightly raced and eligible to continue improving.
- Todd Pletcher, an unquestionably excellent trainer, boasts a record of 2 for 49 in the Kentucky Derby. Velasquez, the routine first call pilot for the Pletcher barn and normal rider of Spinoff, ends up on Code of Honor instead. In the Louisiana Derby, Spinoff had every right to win that race turning for home and instead was easily passed by a 22-1 maiden facing winners for the first time in By My Standards. He is not as battle tested as others, so he may not respond well to the large field and massive crowd at Churchill.

Master Fencer:
+ Master Fencer is the only horse in the field to have run 10 furlongs, not once but twice, albeit on the turf. He finished second and fourth in those efforts while not embarrassing himself in either.
- Master Fencer is just a horse who is happy to be here, as his presence opens the Derby to Japanese betting markets. Foreign horses typically do terribly in the Derby, he is a dead closer, and he wasn’t even Japan’s top point earner. In fact, there were 3 Japanese horses ahead of him in the points standings, all of whom declined the invitation to the Derby. He was beaten by Derma Louvre in the Hyacinth, who went on to run a non-threatening 4th in the UAE Derby.
Edit: thank you kind internet strangers for the silver and gold! My first of each!
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Friday's Stakes Races at Belmont...

Be back tomorrow with all of Saturday's Stakes races as well.....

Belmont Park
Race: 5 (2:58 PM EST Post)
Bed o’ Roses Stakes
Chalon had a very good year in 2018 (5-2-3-0), highlighted by coming within a head of pulling off a 15-1 upset in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. This $550,000 mare by Dialed In came back running in 2019, coming from behind to win a Laurel Stakes race in 1:09.2. Her work pattern suggests no “bounce” off that effort here, Castellano gets the leg up and she has an affinity for this oval….looks marginally best in a well matched field…………Separationofpowers is a gorgeous, two time Grade: 1 winner who probably needed her last, which her first start in 6 ½ months. This Chad Brown trainee stalked a fast pace but, like a horse in need of a race, she hung a bit in deep stretch and checked in third. If she improves off that race, and I suspect she will, it won’t be any surprise at all if she is standing in the winner’s circle ………….Although Pacific Gale is 0 for 3 in 2019 and just 3 for 16 in her career, her past performances are clearly suggesting she is sitting on a big race here. Also, note she finished a head of Separationofpowers last time out and this is her favorite surface as well……………………..Honorable Mentions: After being six wide on the turn for home, Dawn the Destroyer finished right behind Pacific Gale last time out and chased the streaking Come Dancing two back....could be a menace here……………Mybigitalianfriend had a three race win streak snapped in her last at Gulfstream Park. Although this stretch runner by Union Rags will be taking a class hike in this spot, if she gets the right pace scenario she could be coming late at what will probably be some healthy odds.

Race: 7 (4:09 PM EST Post)
Tremont Stakes
When Maven wired maidens in his racing debut, it was the first officially sired winner in North America for Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. This chestnut colt scored an 84 speed figure that day, which is far and away the highest of anyone in this race. All four of his works have been excellent since, but what’s up with all four also being on the grass?......................Rookie Salsa won his debut at Laurel but was much more impressive his next and last time out. This dark bay colt had to alter course in mid stretch in a Stakes race at Churchill Downs yet was still able to “drive past” the leaders in deep stretch. Stretch out in distance here should only help his chances…………………I’m going to think outside the box a little and take Theitalianamerican to (at least) get on the board in this spot. Albeit it was against NYSBs, this ridgling made up nearly 12 lengths in the final furlong of his debut. By my calculations, he ran that very same distance in a supersonic :11 seconds flat. In other words, he was flat motoring late. A repeat performance here would make him a huge threat………………………Honorable Mentions: I liked the way Memorable shrugged off an early challenge and “splashed” home a winner in his sloppy tracked, Churchill debut while stopping the clock in a solid :58.2………Although registering a soft 45 speed figure, Dixie Mo was visually impressive drawing off late to manhandle a group of maidens in his Indiana debut. The waters get deeper this time around but he has trained well of late for Wesley Ward.

Race: 8 (4:42 PM EST Post)
True North Stakes
After four straight, lopsided wins, including a pair of towering 107 speed figures, Catalina Cruiser showed brief speed in the Breeders’ Cup (Dirt) Mile and inexplicably packed it in leaving the half mile pole, finishing sixth beaten by 16+ lengths. The enormous chestnut then went to the sidelines for a little over seven months and returns in this spot with several, stamina building works………………………Strike Power in another strapping chestnut, who came off a 238 day break to absolutely run a hole in the wind and decimate mid level optionals at Gulfstream Park on April 25. A repeat of that effort puts this speedster among the vanguard in this one…………I didn’t like the way Whitmore flattened out in deep stretch in the Churchill Downs Handicap in his last but the fact still remains, he’s a contender in just any sprint race in the country. This now six year old gelding hands out “trips” speed figures like it he was handing out candy at Halloween and, with a plethora of speed in here, it could setup his late run very well……………………Honorable Mentions: Recruiting Ready can step and always gives a good account of himself as his 14 of 20 career on the board finishes would indicate………..Throw a blanket over the rest and pick one as a long shot possibility as any one of them can “jump up” and run big here.

Race: 9 (5:15 PM EST Post)
New York Stakes
Once again, Chad Brown comes with a solid 1-2 punch in Homerique, who overcame a molasses like early pace to win her U.S. debut last time out while using another one of my favorite angles; first time Lasix. She’ll be stretching out here and, although her breeding (by Exchange Rate out of Congaree mare) CLEARLY suggests a mile would be her best distance, she has won/run well at marathon distances before. She, along with stablemate Separationofideas, who chased home the top pick and probably needed the race as it was her first start in 4 ½ months, look tough to beat on paper. Consistent (8-3-2-2 in her career), already a Grade: 1 winner and this being her second start off the layoff, all point to a good effort upcoming………………….I’ll take Semper Sententiae for the show dough. Gray filly by The Factor has been on the board on 7 of 8 career tries including her last three straight in Graded Stakes races…………….Honorable Mentions: Lady Montdore won her first two U.S. starts last summer but has hit a wall since. On her best day, she’s a contender…………………..Holy Helena snapped a 10 month, 0 for 7 dry spell when taking down a Grade: 3 at Gulfstream Park last time out. This 5 year old daughter of the wickedly fast Ghostzapper is super versatile as she can win on any surface and in any pace scenario, so don’t be so quick to throw her out in this spot.

Race: 10 (5:48 PM EST Post)
Belmont Gold Cup Invitational
This race is a handicapping nightmare as they will be running at a distance that is seldom run in this country and you will have three horses, who are not only making their U.S. debuts (so you don’t know what to expect) but all three will also have the first time Lasix angle. Before going any further, let me add you should probably “watch the board” carefully in the last few minutes before post time as it might also offer some clues as to how to approach this race…………All that said, I’ll go with Amade, who although has done most of his winning on the synthetics, has not run in a race of less than two miles in (really) his last six races, winning five and finishing second in the other. My best guess in this shot in the dark contest………………………Arklow looks to have the best chance of the locals in this spot. This five year old by Arch came with a brazen, six wide rally at the quarter pole while making up seven lengths down the lane of the Grade:1 Man o’ War last time and just missed (a fast closing neck) upsetting the field at 6-1. A repeat of that effort here and he’s a major player in this race…………………….Raa Atoll is 3 for 6 on the grass overseas and note the very good, close up fourth in the prestigious King Edward Stakes at Royal Ascot last summer as it signals he has talent………………….Honorable Mentions: I have no idea what to make of Mootasadir, who is 6 for 6 on the synthetics but 0 for 3 on the turf. I do think the first time Lasix and first time on what appears will be a firm turf course might help his cause………………Canessar always gives a good representation of himself. This gray gelding is consistent (three straight 93 speed figures after back to back “trips”), been on the board in 11 of 18 career starts and he’s been within 5 lengths of the winner in all eight U.S. starts.

By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team

[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])

2019- Record: 29-94 = 31%
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%

Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** With Dignity, a half sister to McCraken, broke her maiden impressively last week.
Going off at 3-5 odds and having a troubled trip most of the way around, once jockey Julien Leparoux worked her out into the clear in midstretch, the filly exploded, gobbling up ground down the center of the track under nothing more than a hand ride to post the 3 ¼ length win.
With the win on With Dignity, Leparoux becomes the seventh jockey to ride 900 winners at Churchill Downs.
“It was great to win number 900 for [trainer] Ian Wilkes,” Leparoux said. “He’s supported me a lot in my career and this filly is very nice. I think we’re going to have a lot of fun with her in Stakes company down the road.”
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Previews of the Wood Memorial, Bluegrass Stakes, Santa Anita Derby and more

This is clearly one of the biggest weekends of the year in the sport of Horse Racing. Up until the last few days, I had no less than 17 races circled as races which loom large and should be looked at. Obviously, that’s too many, so I knocked it down to eight.
I’m not sure which should be our highlighted race of the week as it could be any one of four. The Wood Memorial at Aqueduct in New York, the Bluegrass Stakes in Kentucky, the Santa Anita Derby, (all final and major Kentucky Derby prep races) and the Santa Anita Handicap in California, would all qualify, along with several other races this weekend, so I’ll let you decide.
Along with those races each track will also carry a big under card as each has at least one Grade: 1 race as well.
Moreover, starting with Coliseum in January and running right through to 72-1 maiden Bodeexpress finishing second in the Florida Derby last week, I will be skipping a week or two or maybe the next 106 of “my plays”. There has just been way too many horses who don’t figure into my style of handicapping running enormous, out of the blue races. Winning at a 30% clip might be ok for some people, but not for me.
When times like these come about, and it has happened countless times through my almost 40 years, I found it best to back off, regroup and start again when I see my style of handicapping come back.
Since we have so much to go over, I won’t bore you any longer, or with listing every race, let’s just get to work. Lastly, remember with such a wild weekend on tap, the races are broken out by tracks not post times.
Saturday, April 6, 2019
Keeneland Racecourse
Race: 8 (5:10 PM EST Post)
Madison Stakes
After losing the first race of her career by a half of a length, Late Night Pow Wow has rattled off an astounding 11 straight wins, including the Grade: 3 Barbara Fritchie in her last. This obscurely bred filly ran seven furlongs in a hot 1:21.4 that day. Don’t worry this will be her first start since (49 days), as she’s been training lights out lately, signaling another big effort is upcoming…………….2018 Champion Female Sprinter Shamrock Rose had every excuse imaginable in the Azeri Stakes on March 16. Filly by First Dude was making her first start of the year, was at a distance that was not her best, and her rider (David Cohen) used the wrong race tactics as she was facing not one, but two, upper echelon older females in training in Elate and Midnight Bisou. With the cut back to her best distance and a rider upgrade (Cohen to Irad Ortiz), I expect a much better performance here………………Grade: 1 winner Spiced Perfection also looms large in this spot as she was charging hard, late and just missed (head) behind Late Night Pow Wow in the Barbara Fritchie. Filly by sneaky good sire Smiling Tiger won three of her last four to end 2018 with a legitimate excuse (turf) in the one loss mixed in there…………………………Honorable Mentions: It looks as though the winter vacation Amy’s Challenge took did her a world of good as she has come back running in 2019. This speedy filly, who is 6 for 10 in her career, annihilated her foes in her first two starts this year and shows a ridiculously fast 4F (:45.3) two weeks ago. Albeit, she will be taking a huge step up in class and stretching out in distance, she figures to come out running again in this spot and be the one to catch late………..I hate to put America’s Tale this far down as this filly might be laying in the weeds, ready to ambush this field. If you draw a line through yet another failed turf race three back, you’ll see she’s won four straight including the Grade: 2 Inside Information at Gulfstream Park in her last. “Speed” rider Paco Lopez gets the leg up on this “speed” filly.
Race: 9 (5:45 PM EST Post)
Ashland Stakes
2018 Two Year Old Filly Champion Jaywalk was one of the bigger disappointments in her 2019 debut. This daughter of Cross Traffic stalked the early pace in the Davona Dale but had very little left in the tank down the lane and checked in fourth, beaten by almost six lengths. I’ll give this immensely talent horse a “mulligan” for that and come right back with her here…………….Restless Rider was one of the better two year old fillies last year. This well bred gray sports a 6-3-3-0 career record, including a Grade: 1 win and very good second in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly last November. She has been training very well for her first start since, but I’m pretty sure, with much bigger goals down the road, she won’t be 100% for this test…………Chocolate Kisses was visually impressive coming from last, catapulting past horses with a 5 wide, sweeping move on the turn before roaring down the lane to the Honeybee Stakes at 7.50-1. I’m sure the screaming fast early pace in that race helped quite a bit but still….a repeat performance of that race here should put her among the vanguard at the wire……………Honorable Mentions: Feedback is another who might be ready to ambush this field. I really liked the way this filly by Violence won her first start (by 8 lengths, getting the last sixteenth in :06.3) and her follow up race, the Forward Gal Stakes, as she was pressured every step of the way but was dead game in winning it. Unbeaten speedster figures prominent throughout……………Bell’s the One is unbeaten in four starts while facing much lesser opponents. Good looking filly is 1 for 1 on this oval and shows a strong work last week over it as well…..outside shot……….Lady Kate is a $485,000 daughter of Bernardini who ran very well in both of her career starts. I love the bullet work on this surface last week too……..If you are shopping for a long-shot, take a gander at Bizwhacks, who although it took her eight starts to break her maiden, she ran a sneaky good third behind Chocolate Kisses in her last. Filly by Fed Biz has hit the board in eight of nine starts.
Race: 10 (6:23PM EST Post)
Bluegrass Stakes
While looking at this race, I found something very interesting. Vekoma, based off his two wins last year and the first time Lasix using, excellent third to Code of Honor in his 2019 debut (March 2, Fountain of Youth Stakes), clearly looks like the best horse in this race and his 9/5 morning line odds reflect that. Before moving forward, take note he ran 8 ½ furlongs in about 1:44.1 over that “conveyor belt” they call Gulfstream Park. Now move over to track record holder for seven furlongs at Tampa Bay Downs Win Win Win. Note how, just seven days later over a track much deeper and much more tiring than GP, this colt was charging hard, late to get third in the Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs at the same 8 ½ furlong distance. Yes, he was the beaten favorite but note how his final time was approximately 1:42.1 or 2 full seconds faster that Vekoma’s. That amounts to about a 10 length differential. (Although logical has nothing to do with the three year old division thus far) Logically, if he runs 10 lengths better than Vekoma under more difficult circumstances, wouldn’t it make sense to play Win Win Win on top here? Bottom line, based off that fact alone, I’ll take Win Win Win to win and Vekoma to come second………………….Signalman had a banner year last year. However, he disappointed in his 2019 debut, checking in seventh in the Fountain of Youth Stakes. Three straight, strong 5F works since should have him “tighter” for this………………Honorable Mentions: If Somelikeithotbrown can pull the same trick as Anothertwistafate (run just as well on the dirt as the synthetics) he’ll be tough here. This son of Big Brown looked super in winning both 2019 starts at Turfway Park and has hit the board in six of seven career starts……If you are hunting a longshot, take a peek at Sir Winston, who is on the improve, highlighted by making up nine lengths in the last 4 ½ furlongs of the Tampa Bay Derby and finished right behind Win Win Win in the process.

Aqueduct Racetrack
Race: 9 (5:22 PM EST Post)
Carter Handicap
It’s no secret I like World of Trouble quite a bit. This handsome, super fast son of Kantharos has won 6 of 10 in his career including a “just missed” second in none other than the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint last fall. That race is sandwiched around four, mostly large margined wins and his last four speed figures overall (103, a colossal 118, 109 and 107) jump off the page. Although he draws the extreme outside post I expect him to make every pole a winning one…………………..Vino Rosso was at one time a strong Kentucky Derby prospect until Justify came along and the rest, as they say, is (literally) history. This $410,000 son of Curlin took nearly seven months off but made a successful return to the races when stalking the early pace, using a five wide move on the turn and taking down the Stymie Handicap on March 9. Lastly, note he is 3 for 3 at the Big A and just 1 for 7 everywhere else. Can you say “Horse for the Course” angle?.......................Identity Politics has never been off the board in six career starts including circling the entire field in the prestigious Malibu Stakes and finishing second to one of the top older horses in training today (McKinzie). This $350,000 son of Into Mischief, with his 1-4-1 record, does seem to have a touch of “second-itis” but is an exotics threat nonetheless……………Honorable Mentions: Albeit vs. lesser competition, Honor Up has rattled off three straight wins (four of his last five), but his speed figures and having the guts of a cat burglar both suggest he could be competitive in this spot. The 6-4-2-0 career record on this oval is also an attention getter…………….Should probable long shot Sir Ballentine duplicate his last performance, where he beat mid-level optionals at this distance and on this oval while getting 7F in 1:22 flat, he could be a menace.

Race: 10 (6:00PM EST Post)
Wood Memorial
You can make an argument that Tacitus might be the best bred horse in training today. This gray colt, who has big, beautiful stride, is by super sire Tapit out of 5 time Grade: 1 winner Close Hatches, appears to be getting good at just the right time. Although a fast early pace help him considerably, he rallied from some 10-11 lengths behind at first call of the Tampa Bay Derby but came “over the top” to win going away. The Bill Mott trainee is visually begging for more distance and he’ll get just that in this spot, all he needs is a pace to run into….gets the call in a very difficult race to figure………………..Haikal is a neck shy of being 4 for 4 in his career. He is another who was aided by a wickedly fast pace when coming from way out to win the Gotham last time out. This son of Daaher’s, will be trying two turns for the first time, has speed figures that are climbing steadily (79, 85, 84 and 95) signaling improvement as the distances get longer. That stat is backed up by regular rider Rajiv Maragh: "I'll be disappointed if he doesn't improve at two turns," said Maragh, "The great thing about him is that we haven't seen the best of him yet. He hasn't hit his ceiling. So he just might be a superstar horse who gets better each time."………………………I hate to put Tax this far down, I really do. This colt by Arch was dead game in winning the Withers on this oval last time out and all reports indicate he has looked sensational in the mornings. Trainer Danny Gargan, who has a really cute dog that he takes everywhere, is beaming with confidence: "He's been training phenomenal. He couldn't work any better. He's really good right now. I just hope we get a clean trip."……………….Honorable Mentions: Outshine is a $625,000 son of Malibu Moon who finished right behind Tacticus in the Tampa Bay Derby after whipping $75,000 optionals previously. Still another with rising speed figures and you get the third start off the layoff angle………………Hoffa’s Union looked like a world beater when breaking his maiden by 15 ½ lengths and scoring a 95 speed figure in his racing debut at Laurel. Gelding by Union Rags could be any kind…………..Just a few other side notes: Final Jeopardy improved dramatically when stretched out in distance in his last………Overdeliver won his debut and then gamely chased Win Win Win in a track record setting performance……..Joevia is your long shot in this spot. By Shanghai Bobby, he finished a neck behind Haikal two back at 18-1 then gamely chased the streaking Alwaysmining at Laurel in his last……Unfortunately Not That Brady, after rattling off four strong races in a row, looks like a complete throw out in this spot. The son of Big Brown out of the heart warming story of Lisa’s Booby Trap, was basically pulled up in the stretch of the Gotham and was beaten by a no exaggeration 75 lengths. Rumors continue to swirl he bled through Lasix in that race and is nursing a quarter crack as well. That’s too bad, the story behind is dam is a special one.
Santa Anita Park
Race: 3 (4:00PM EST Post)
Santa Anita Oaks
Bellafina is a gorgeous, $800,000 daughter of Quality Road who is 5 for 7 in her career and 3 for 3 on this oval. As I said two weeks ago before she scratched out of the Sunland Park Oaks, she looked terrific in winning her first start of the year while in nothing more than an in hand gallop. She came back, stretched out in distance and although the finish was closer than her connections would have wanted, it was understandable. After ripping a half mile in :46.1 over a heavy track labeled “good”, she had every right to tire towards the end…..narrow margin is a super, duper competitive horse race……………….Chasing Yesterday broke poorly and was extremely wide her entire journey but was still able to win the aforementioned Sunland Park Oaks conclusively. This Grade: 1 winning, half sister of the great American Pharoah wheels back on two weeks rest in this spot so fitness won’t be an issue nor will the distance as she is 2 for 2 at 8 ½ furlongs……………………Flor de La Mar is a $500,000, Amazonian filly by Tiznow who couldn’t have looked any better in winning at first asking. Throw out the NW1X race last time out when she went down in flames as the 3/5 favorite as she never looked comfortable on the sloppy track. You could see she was struggling mightily leaving the half mile pole. Mega talented filly is being asked a lot of in this spot, but Baffert doesn’t put them where they don’t belong.
Race: 8 (6:30PM EST Post)
Santa Anita Derby
Although Two Year Old Colt Champion Game Winner suffered his first career defeat in the Rebel last time out, it must be noted he ran a huge race. Colt by Candy Ride was making his first start in 4 ½ months and looked hopelessly beaten on the turn for home and into the lane. In fact, he hung slightly at the sixteenth pole but then turned on the afterburners only to come up a whisker short on the wire. Two strong subsequent works since, including a bullet 6F move 5 days ago, should have him cranked most of the way up for this…………………The vaunted Instagrand, a $1.2 million purchase won his first two starts by colossal margins but was put away for eight months, chased a wickedly fast pace in the Gotham in his comeback race March 9. All things considered (the race tactics employed by Castellano and his first race off a long layoff) I though he ran very well to get the “show dough” in that spot. That race, and back to back bullet 5F works, should have him tighter for this…………..You KNOW this is good horse race when I have to put Roadster in the third slot. This $525,000 son of Quality Road could not have looked any better while beating NW1x other than’s in his first start back in almost six months due to a leg injury. I loved the way he was moving down the lane and the fact he got the last quarter mile in an excellent :24.2. His speed figures are strong and consistent and Big Money Mike gets the leg up………………….Honorable Mention: Nolo Contesto is a talented and improving son of the late Pioneerof the Nile. But the fact still remains, other than an awkward start, he was beaten fair and square by Roadster last time out.
Race: 10 (7:30PM EST Post)
Santa Anita Handicap
McKinzie is the very handsome colt by Street Sense who is clearly one of the better older males in training today even with a tough beat to the late Battle of Midway in his last. Bay colt is 5 for 8 in his career, 5-3-2-0 on this surface and I love the work pattern coming into this. The only concern is the 10 furlongs as that might be his Achilles heel. Past that, he looks much the best here………………..Gift Box is razor sharp right now. This six year old by Twirling Candy is about a head away from coming into this riding a four race wins streak, topped off by winning the traditional prep race for this, the San Antonio Handicap….clearly the main threat to McKinzie here……………….I’ll be keeping an eye on Campaign, who is a $675,000 son of Curlin, as he ran huge in his first start for new trainer John Sadler last time out………………….Honorable Mention: Prime Attraction has shown improved early speed in his last two starts and could be a long shot menace if left alone on an uncontested lead in this spot.

By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 19-64 = 30% (My Plays: -$2,314.14)
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%
Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** Another one bites the dust:
Portland Meadows, owned by The Stronach Group, will be closing their doors for good in June.
A report indicates the 63-acre property will become an “urban logistics facility.”
Opened in 1946, Portland Meadows offered both Thoroughbred and Quarter Horse Racing. It was the first track to offer night racing and also hosted concerts for major acts.
The Stronach Group acquired the property in 2011.

**** Monomoy Girl is recovering from a mild case of colic that is expected to sideline her for about three weeks and will prevent her from making her eagerly awaited 4 year old debut May 3 in the $500,000 La Troienne Stakes at Churchill Downs.
Monomoy Girl is at WinStar Farm near Versailles, KY., and will be re-evaluated next week to determine when she can resume training.
Trainer Brad Cox hopes to have her back in his barn by May 1.
"It's unfortunate," Cox said. "The timing is not good, but it is what it is and we have to put the horse first."
Cox added the $700,000 Ogden Phipps Stakes at Belmont Park June 8 may be a "possibility" for her season debut because she has not lost much fitness in the last week, but added that he will not decide on her next start until "she puts in a good (five-furlong) workout."

**** 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify will shuttle to Coolmore Australia for the 2019 Southern Hemisphere breeding season, where he will stand for a private fee.
Justify will stand alongside fellow Triple Crown winner American Pharoah.
“Justify (a son of Scat Daddy) was a phenomenal racehorse who re-wrote the history books through his achievements on the track. It is an absolute privilege to stand him at Coolmore Australia alongside our other Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, who has already been so well supported by Australasian breeders” said Coolmore Australia Principal, Tom Magnier.
“Scat Daddy was an incredible sire who has made an instant impact as a sire of sires and we look forward to standing his best son in Jerry’s Plains.”

**** Lady Pauline, a half sister to Lady Aurelia, will make her racing debut Friday at Keeneland in a 4 1/2-furlong sprint. The filly will break from post 9 with Johnny V. in the irons.

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BC Turf Winners With Pedigrees--A Major Look At European Breeding!

U.S. best turf horses has always been considered a cut below the best compared to European horses. However, most think it evens out due to the faster pace of turf races and tighter turns. Many top European horses have already gone over the top(off-form)by the time the Breeders Cup rolls around. Despite this, Europeans still hold an edge over U.S. runners in the 1 1/2 mile turf race.
1984- Lashkari: Mill Reef- Larannda By Right Royal. 4x5 to Nearco & Hyperion, 5x5 To Pharos & Blenheim II. Mill Reef (Never Bend- Milan Mill By Princequillo)won 12 Of 14 races with 2 seconds in his racing career and would become a top sire in Europe. Lashkari was a late developing 3 YO that would upset heavy favorite All Along (grand daughter of Round Table) at odds of more than 50-1. 11 Starts 5 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds.
1985- Pebbles(filly): Sharpen Up- La Docle By Connaught. 4x5 To Hyperion. Sharpen Up was a grand son of Native Dancer who was a 2 Yo champion and would go on to sire 10 champions in Europe, including Pebbles. 15 Starts 8 Wins 5 Seconds. Odds around 3-1(favorite).
1986- Manila: Lyphard- Dona Ysidra By Le Fabuleux. 4x5 To Nearco. This race pitted the best of the U.S. vs. the best in Europe in 1985. U.S. base Manila would win as Dancing Brave(favorite) would finish off the board in 4th for the only time in his career after starting his rally much too late. 18 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds. 3-1 Odds.
1987- Theatrical: Nureyev- Tree Of Knowledge By Sassafras. 4x5 to Nearco, 5(C)x5(C) to Hyperion, 5(F)x5(F) to Court Martial. Nureyev is a 3/4 brother to Sadler's Wells. The two best European horses squared off with Theatrical putting away the favorite Trempolino in deep stretch. Odds 3-1.
1988- Great Communicator: Key To The Kingdom- Blaheen By Beekeeper. 4x5 To Nearco & Prince Rose, 5x5 To Blenheim II. Key To The Kingdom is a 3/4 brother to Secretariat and sire of the 3rd dam of Pioneer ofthe Nile(sire of American Pharoah). Great Communicator was given little chance of beating Europe's best but proved many wrong as he slowed the pace to a crawled and then outsprinted everyone to the wire when asked. 56 Starts 14 Wins 10 Seconds 7 Thirds. 16-1 Odds.
1989- Prized: Kris S- My Turbulent Miss By My Dad George. 5x5 To Bull Dog. Coming into the BC Turf, Prized was most famous for beating Sunday Silence in the Swaps S. His connections decided to try the turf for the first time rather than try to beat both Easy Goer & Sunday Silence in the Classic. He came from last and won by about 3 lengths. 17 Starts 9 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds. 3-1 Odds.
1990- In The Wings: Sadler's Wells- High Hawk By Shirley Heights. 4x5 To Lalun. Sadler's Wells was the top siring son of Northern Dancer and Shirley Heights was the best siring son of Mill Reef. 11 Starts 7 Wins 1 Second. 8-1 Odds.
1991- Miss Alleged(filly): Alleged- Miss Tusculum By Boldnesian. 4(C)x5(C) To War Admiral. Alleged won 9 of 10 Starts including the Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe(Fr-1)Twice. Miss Alleged found herself having to run against colts because of a filly named Salsabil (daughter Of Sadler's Wells)was dominating both colts and fillies during her best year. Came from back of the pack to win going away in the BC Turf. 15 Starts 5 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 16-1 Odds.
1992- Fraise: Strawberry Road- Zalatia By Dictus. Outcross. Strawberry Road was a grand son Of Nijinsky II(who happens to be the last English TC winner in 1970). Fraise was considered the best of U.S. horse in 1992 but a cut below Europe's best. But he rose to the occasion and beat several other U.S. runners as Europe's best did not show their best form or not as good as the build up. 34 Starts 10 Wins 5 Seconds 6 Thirds. 14-1 Odds.
1993- Kotashaan: Darshaan- Haute Autorite By Elocutionist. 5x5 To Nasrullah. Darshaan was son of Shirley Heights. After winning a couple of minor graded stakes in Ire, he was sent to California where he swept all of California's grade turf races including the BC Turf. 22 Starts 10 Wins 5 Seconds 2 Thirds. 7-5 Favorite.
1994- Tikkanen: Cozzene- Reiko By Targowice. 4x4 to Princequillo, 5x5 to Nasrullah. Shipped in early, he won the Turf Classic(G1) at Belmont Park at 14-1 before returning a month later and winning the BC Turf at 10-1. 17 Starts 4 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds.
1995- Northern Spur: Sadler's Wells- Fruition By Rheingold. 4x5 To Nearco, 5x5 To Hyperion. Brought by Charles Cella(owner of Oaklawn Park), he came over early to win the Oak Tree Invitation before coming right back and winning the BC Turf. 15 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 3-1 Odds.
1996- Pilsudski: Polish Precedent- Cocolte By Troy. 4x5 To Petition. Polish Precedent is a son of Danzig. Petition traces back to Fairway (full brother to Pharos who sired Nearco), Mill Reef, Sir Gaylord (1/2 brother to Secretariat) and Princequillo shows up in the dams families. This series of BC races was ran in Canada where the Europeans swept the top 4 spots in a star studded field. 23 Starts 11 Wins 7 Seconds 1 Third. 8-5 Odds.
1997- Chief Bearhart: Chief's Crown- Amelia Bearhart By Bold Ruckus. 3x4 To Bold Ruler, 4(F)x5(F)x5(C) to Nasrullah, 5x5 to Nearco. After finishing up the track on his home track in 1996, Chief Bearhart came back in 1997 and beat a very good field on his way to Turf Champion of 1997. 26 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds 3 Thirds. 9-2 Odds.
1998- Buck's Boy: Bucksplasher- Mollys Colleen By Verbatim. Outcross. Buck's Boy always tried to take the field gate to wire and was most effective when allowed to set a leisure pace. In this year's renewal, he got away with slowing the pace down and had more than enough left to keep everyone else at bay. 30 Starts 16 Wins 5 Seconds 2 Thirds. 8-1 Odds.
1999- Daylami: Doyoun- Daltawa By Miswaki. 4x5 To Princequillo. Doyoun is a son of Mill Reef. Miswaki was a son of Mr Prospector with many of U.S best sire in his female family including Buckpasser, War Admiral, Nasrullah & Bull Lea. Miswaki made his named as a broodmare sire of champions such as Galileo, Sea The Stars, My Typhoon, Daylami, etc. 21 Starts 11 Wins 3 Seconds 4 Thirds. 8-5 Odds.
2000- Kalanisi: Doyoun- Kalamba By Green Dancer. 3x4 To Never Bend. Green Dancer was a son of Nijinsky II and was a very good distance sire in Europe. 11 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 1 Third. 7-2 Odds.
2001- Fantastic Light: Rahy- Jood By Nijinsky II. 4(F)x5(F) to Nearctic, 5x5 to Nearco, Menow, Almahmoud & Cohoes. Almahmoud(filly) & Cohoes(colt)were foals of Mahmoud. Rahy is the best siring son of Blushing Groom. 25 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds 3 Thirds. 8-5 Odds.
2002 & 2003(DH)- High Chaparral: Sadler's Wells- Kasora By Darshaan. In 2002, High Chaparral faced U.S. speed horse With Anticipation and won by 1 1/2 lengths as the 9-5 favorite. In 2003, he faced a tougher but more compact field, rated in 4th until the top of the stretch when he challenged for the lead and looked like a winner until Johar came flying down the middle of the track as the longest shot in the field, resulting in a dead heat for the win.
2003- Johar(DH): Gone West- Windsharp By Lear Fan. 5(C)x5(C) to Nasrullah, 5(F)x5(F) to Turn-To, 4x5 to Native Dancer, Nashua, Something Royal & Mixed Marriage. Dead-heated for win in 2003 at 14-1. 16 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 2 Thirds.
2004- Better Talk Now: Talking Man- Bendita By Baldski. 4(C)x 5(C) To Buckpasser, 5x4 to Northern Dancer. Talking Man was a son of With Approval(a G1 winning son of Caro). Baldski was a son of Nijinsky II. Overlooked in betting because of the presence of Kitten's Joy, Better Talk Now came from last and ran past the whole field to win going away. 51 Starts 14 Wins 8 Seconds 5 Thirds. Odds 30-1.
2005- Shirocco: Monsun- So Sedulous By The Minstrel. Monsun is from the best producing sire line in Germany over the last 70 years. The Minstrel is a 3/4 brother to Nijinsky II. Won 2005 BC Turf over a decent field. 13 Starts 7 Wins 1 Second 3 Thirds. Odds 5-1.
2006: Red Rocks: Galileo- Pharmacist By Machiavellian. 3x4 to Northern Dancer & Fairy Bridge(through full brothers Sadler's Wells & Fairy King), 4x3 To Mr Prospector, 4(C)x5(F)x5(F) to Natalma, 5x5 to Native Dancer & Turn-To. 24 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 30-1.
2007- English Channel: Smart Strike- Belva By Theatrical. Outcross. Smart Strike is sire of Curlin. Theatrical is son of Nureyev(3/4 brother to Sadler's Wells). 23 Starts 13 Wins 4 Seconds 1 Thirds. 6-1 Odds.
2008 & 2009- Conduit: Dalakani- Well Head By Sadler's Wells. 5x5 To Never Bend, 5(F)x5(F) to Native Dancer. Conduit was a lightly raced colt fresh off an upset in England's St Leger at 1 3/4 miles, he was again overlooked in the BC Turf and closed relentless to win by about 2 lengths at 16-1. He returned in 2009 and repeated as the odds-on favorite at 4-5.
2010- Dangerous Midge: Lion Heart- Adored Slew By Seattle Slew. 4(C)x4(F)x5(F) to Hail To Reason, 5x5 To Raise A Native. Lion Heart ran 2nd to Smarty Jones in 2004 Ky Derby. Adored Slew broodmare sire is Affirmed whose best runners preferred the turf. 11 Starts 6 Wins 1 Third. Odds 5-1.
2011- St Nicholas Abbey: Montjeu- Leaping Water By Sure Blade. 5x5 to Forli. Montjeu is a son of Sadler's Wells. Sure Blade is a grandson of Sharpen Up(who himself was grand son of Native Dancer). 21 Starts 9 Wins 2 Seconds 7 Thirds. Odds 16-1.
2012- Little Mike: Spanish Steps- Hay Jude By Wavering Monarch. 4x5 to In Reality, 5x5 to Raise A Native. Spanish Steps was a unraced full brother to Unbridled's Song. Little Mike was usually a front runner, but since he had never gone 1 and 1/2 miles, his connections decided to lay off the pace and ask him to run in the stretch, which he responded to win by 1 1/2 lengths. 30 Starts 14 Wins 2 Seconds 1 Third. Odds 17-1.
2013- Magician: Galileo- Absolutelyfablous By Mozart. 3x5 to Northern Dancer, 5x5 to Raise A Native. Galileo is a son of Sadler's Wells. Mozart is a son of Danehill making Magician bred on the same lines as Frankel. Coming off a five month laid off, he was overlooked in the betting and produced a kick in the stretch that got him up to win by 1/2 length. 14 Starts 5 Wins 4 Seconds. 23-1.
2014- Main Sequence: Aldebaran- Ikat By Pivotal. 5(C)x5(F)x5(F) x5(F) to Northern Dancer. Aldebaran is a son of Mr Prospector from a Private Account mare, Pivotal is a grandson of Nureyev and Cozzene is his broodmare sire. 20 Starts 9 Wins 3 Seconds 3 Thirds. 6-1 Odds.
2015- Found(filly)Galileo- Red Evie By Intikab. 3x4 To Northern Dancer, 4x5 to Mr Prospector, 5x5 to Hail To Reason. Intikab is a grand son of Roberto, a major breeding influence both on dirt and turf, especially at longer distances. Dynaformer, Kris S, Arch, Barbaro, Brian's Time, Zenyatta(on her dam side), etc descends from Roberto.
Trainer Aidan O'Brien and Owners Magnier, Tabert & Smith have combine to win 5 BC Turf. Jockeys Frankie Dettori and Ryan Moore each has 4 wins in this race. 6 geldings have won this race and so has 3 fillies. 3 YOs have won this race 9 times, 4 YOs have won 14 runnings and 5 YO have won 10 runnings, including one dead heat for the win..
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Churchill Downs played host to the Breeders’ Cup for the second consecutive year and for a record eighth time. The Breeders’ Cup added a new race for 2011, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint for 2-year-olds at three- quarters-of a mile. The Juvenile Sprint was the first race on Friday and it was won by the Bob Baffert-trained Secret Circle. The Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge is the country's largest live money handicapping contest. There were a record 138 players in the field, which required a $10,000 buy-in and featured $370,000 in The Breeders’ Cup announced today that horse racing’s biggest live money handicapping tournament, the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC), will be held this year on November 4-5 at Churchill Downs. In only its third year, the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge will have a prize pool of up to $350,000 based on 125 players. 2020 Breeders Cup - Betting on the Breeders, odds, news and facts. All you need for your bet on the Breeders Cup. The Breeders’ Cup Challenge is a series of 68 of races held in various countries around the world that offer an automatic entry for the winner of each race. 2011. The Classic qualifiers are comprised of Grade I races and Breeders Cup Picks as HorseRacing.net preview all the races and bring you the latest Breeders Cup Betting Odds previews the 2020 Met Mile with a Breeders' Cup place up for grabs in the Dirt Mile as part of the Win and You're In challenge... A fascinating renewal of the Grade 1 Metropolitan Handicap is led…

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